The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable

Nicholas Taleb, Nassim

The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable - London Penguin Books Ltd. 2010 - xxxiii, 444 p.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters.

9780141034591


Uncertainty - Information theory
Forecasting

003.54 / NIC

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