Thinking in bets: making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts (Record no. 4893)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02392nam a22001937a 4500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20230217152852.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 230217b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9780735216358
082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 658.40353
Item number DUK
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Duke, Annie
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Thinking in bets: making smarter decisions when you don't have all the facts
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Portfolio
Place of publication, distribution, etc. New York
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2018
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent ix, 276 p.
365 ## - TRADE PRICE
Price type code INR
Price amount 699.00
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?<br/><br/>Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?<br/><br/>Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.<br/><br/>By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Management games
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Decision making
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Koha item type Book
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Collection code Bill No Bill Date Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Source of acquisition Cost, normal purchase price Total Checkouts Full call number Accession Number Date last seen Copy number Cost, replacement price Price effective from Koha item type
    Dewey Decimal Classification     Public Policy & General Management IB/IN/949 03-01-2023 Indian Institute of Management LRC Indian Institute of Management LRC General Stacks 02/17/2023 International Book Centre 479.86   658.40353 DUK 004582 02/17/2023 1 699.00 02/17/2023 Book

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