MARC details
| 000 -LEADER |
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| fixed length control field |
02644nam a22001937a 4500 |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION |
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| control field |
20240516202607.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
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240515b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
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| International Standard Book Number |
9781400063512 |
| 082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER |
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| Classification number |
003.54 |
| Item number |
TAL |
| 100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
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| Personal name |
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas |
| 245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
The black swan: |
| Remainder of title |
the impact of the highly improbable |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) |
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| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. |
Random House |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. |
New York |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. |
2007 |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
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| Extent |
xxviii, 366 p. |
| 365 ## - TRADE PRICE |
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| Price type code |
USD |
| Price amount |
28.00 |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc. |
The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.”<br/><br/>A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.<br/> <br/>Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.”<br/> <br/>For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.<br/><br/>Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.<br/><br/>(https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/176226/the-black-swan-second-edition-by-nassim-nicholas-taleb/) |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Uncertainty - Information theory |
| 650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
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| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Forecasting |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
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| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Dewey Decimal Classification |
| Koha item type |
Book |