TY  - BOOK
AU  - Nicholas Taleb, Nassim
TI  - The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
SN  - 9780141034591
U1  - 003.54 
PY  - 2010///
CY  - London
PB  - Penguin Books Ltd.
KW  - Uncertainty - Information theory
KW  -  Forecasting
N2  - Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters
ER  -