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020 _a9780691242248
082 _a339.53
_bCOC
100 _aCochrane, John H.
_914199
245 _aThe fiscal theory of the price level
260 _bPrinceton University Press
_aNew Jersey
_c2023
300 _axxvi, 558 p.
365 _aUSD
_b99.95
520 _aWhere do inflation and deflation ultimately come from? The fiscal theory of the price level offers a simple answer: Prices adjust so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of taxes less spending. Inflation breaks out when people don’t expect the government to fully repay its debts. The fiscal theory is well suited to today’s economy: Financial innovation undermines money demand, and central banks don’t control the money supply or aggressively change interest rates, invalidating classic theories, while large debts and deficits threaten inflation and constrain monetary policy. This book presents a comprehensive account of this important theory from one of its leading developers and advocates. John Cochrane aims to make fiscal theory useful as a conceptual framework and modeling tool, and for analyzing history and policy. He merges fiscal theory with standard models in which central banks set interest rates, giving a novel account of monetary policy. He generalizes the theory to explain data and make realistic predictions. For example, inflation decreases in recessions despite deficits because discount rates fall, raising the value of debt; specifying that governments promise to partially repay debt avoids classic puzzles and allows the theory to apply at all times, not just during periods of high inflation. Cochrane offers an extensive rethinking of monetary doctrines and institutions through the eyes of fiscal theory, and analyzes the era of zero interest rates and post-pandemic inflation. Filled with research by Cochrane and others, The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level offers important new insights about fiscal and monetary policy. (https://press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691242248/the-fiscal-theory-of-the-price-level)
650 _aInflation (Finance)
_915592
650 _aMonetary policy
_915084
650 _aPricing
_913723
942 _cBK
_2ddc
999 _c5937
_d5937